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Money Game: The Stupid War?


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Patrik Callinggard
Patrik Callinggard
Apr 02, 2022

please David, don't simplify this war, it is more the complex then just Ukraine! It's about the whole eastern Europe border. We are scared of Putin will invade more nations. You should dig into the history of being a state under the (Soviet) Russian Federation. He wants half of Europe to be vassal state under him. Then we will not be able to trade with the USA.

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Unknown member
Apr 03, 2022
Replying to

We are all learning!

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Jeremy Martin
Mar 26, 2022

Conventional warfare is dead.

Tanks are useless because anti-tank weaponry including drones, is cheap and effective. The rise of drones should make shooting rockets from close range (less than 20 kms) obsolete because you can now sit a safe distance away and launch a drone with a bomb attached and either drop it on the rocket launcher or crash land your drone destroying the selected target. Might not been used as much as possibly could be in this conflict. Loads cheaper than a fighter jet, loads safer than a fighter jet, more accurate and very difficult at this stage to defend against.

So possibly fighter jets are on the way to been useless as well?

The point: Can Ukraine win…


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david mandler
Mar 23, 2022

You mention John Hopkinson S&P 500 portfolio at the end of your video. How does one find out more about this? I did a google search and nothing came up.

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Unknown member
Mar 23, 2022
Replying to

look no further. John is the writer of More Buyers than Sellers on this blog.

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James Wang
Mar 23, 2022

Dear David,


2 more questions.

(1) Do you see stock market go up due to false positive reasons?

(2) How do you see such a strong rebound in Nasdaq with 10 year yield rising so much? In addition, does the real 10 year will get back to 0 (now -0.51%) thesis still hold?


Thanks


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Unknown member
Mar 23, 2022
Replying to

If you look at what the FOMC sees as the terminal rate and you apply some term premium to it, then it is possible. Of course, the market might decide that recession comes before they get to their terminal rate target which I think is highly likely. But yes, I think real yields at 0% is still likely although the Ukraine war complicates this a lot

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James Wang
Mar 23, 2022

Dear David,


Thanks for the video, can you talk more about several issues?

(a) What's the tone you don't feel good between Biden and Xi and it is necessarily to exit China asset due to potential conflicts between each other and also COVID challenge (But don't both regulators have positive stand on China ADR? and also hope to get back home to support economic growth?)

(b) If the war sustain, do we need to buy Oil stocks? If not, why? Oil might be a tricky one between the current shortage and potential future recession.


Thanks


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Unknown member
Mar 27, 2022
Replying to

Nothing new. China has been removing industries from its restricted list every year. The audit requirement was passed into law in 2020 under Trump that Beijing knew was going to come into effect in 2022 and hence the crackdown on tech and Didi... Trump did more towards creating win-win for US and China and all US presidents combined in the past 30 years

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