top of page
DW_HEADER.jpg
  • X
  • LinkedIn
  • Youtube

INVESTMENT FORUM WITH A PROVEN TRACK RECORD

ECONOMICS/POLITICS/GEOPOLITICS  

INVESTMENT FORUM

WITH A PROVEN TRACK RECORD

ECONOMICS/POLITICS/GEOPOLITICS  

Strongly Worded Letters

Strongly Worded Letters

The first tariff letters go out on Monday. 'Sell the event' must mean go short. With small caps close to target, it is time to take profit to effect this.

317

0

1

Jul 6, 2025

Strongly Worded Letters

Strongly Worded Letters

The first tariff letters go out on Monday. 'Sell the event' must mean go short. With small caps close to target, it is time to take profit to effect this.

317

0

1

Jul 6, 2025

Strongly Worded Letters

Strongly Worded Letters

The first tariff letters go out on Monday. 'Sell the event' must mean go short. With small caps close to target, it is time to take profit to effect this.

317

0

1

Jul 6, 2025

2022 Is My New Playbook

2022 Is My New Playbook

Inflation, fiscal stimulus, retail stock mania. History doesn’t always repeat itself but 2025 is starting to look a lot like 2022 before both stocks and bonds crashed.

187

0

0

Jul 11, 2025

2022 Is My New Playbook

2022 Is My New Playbook

Inflation, fiscal stimulus, retail stock mania. History doesn’t always repeat itself but 2025 is starting to look a lot like 2022 before both stocks and bonds crashed.

187

0

0

Jul 11, 2025

2022 Is My New Playbook

2022 Is My New Playbook

Inflation, fiscal stimulus, retail stock mania. History doesn’t always repeat itself but 2025 is starting to look a lot like 2022 before both stocks and bonds crashed.

187

0

0

Jul 11, 2025

MACRO STOCK SCREEN

A tool to find stocks that should benefit from our macro views (or yours!). Includes a technical signal to screen for interesting trade candidates.

macroscreen.PNG

OUR TRACK RECORD

We trade our macro views transparently and provide daily updates of how we are doing relative to our benchmark of SPY.

equityv2.png
Boxing Day special - 2025 predictions

Boxing Day special - 2025 predictions

Our idea for what the DOGE will do on 1st April, and 20 other predictions for 2025 that you probably won't see elsewhere.

432

0

3

Dec 26, 2024

Strongly Worded Letters

Strongly Worded Letters

The first tariff letters go out on Monday. 'Sell the event' must mean go short. With small caps close to target, it is time to take profit to effect this.

317

0

1

Jul 6, 2025

Strongly Worded Letters

Strongly Worded Letters

The first tariff letters go out on Monday. 'Sell the event' must mean go short. With small caps close to target, it is time to take profit to effect this.

317

0

1

Jul 6, 2025

Stock Trading Examples

Stock Trading Examples

A review of stock trading with examples. Why stocks are safer than cash in the long run, how to calculate beta, how to size trades, and a bottom up analysis of VZ and AMC.

106

2

1

Jun 11, 2025

2022 Is My New Playbook

2022 Is My New Playbook

Inflation, fiscal stimulus, retail stock mania. History doesn’t always repeat itself but 2025 is starting to look a lot like 2022 before both stocks and bonds crashed.

187

0

0

Friday, July 11, 2025

Honest Board

Honest Board

Last updated 2024-01-19. Our portfolio was up 2% compared to just 0.2% for its benchmark.

159

1

0

Jan 12, 2024

2022 Is My New Playbook

2022 Is My New Playbook

Inflation, fiscal stimulus, retail stock mania. History doesn’t always repeat itself but 2025 is starting to look a lot like 2022 before both stocks and bonds crashed.

187

0

0

Friday, July 11, 2025

balanced.png
balanced.png

METHODOLOGY:

1: Excess returns are calculated daily using US closing prices. 

2. Portfolios are rebalanced on Mondays at New York open, based on allocation strategies discussed in our Beat the Market video on Sunday.  

3: The calibration of our risk exposure is based on our target of annual excess return of 250 basis points and information ratio of 2. 

< 10 mins
2022 Is My New Playbook
2022 Is My New Playbook

Inflation, fiscal stimulus, retail stock mania. History doesn’t always repeat itself but 2025 is starting to look a lot like 2022 before both stocks and bonds crashed.

187

0

0

Friday, July 11, 2025

2022 Is My New Playbook
2022 Is My New Playbook

Inflation, fiscal stimulus, retail stock mania. History doesn’t always repeat itself but 2025 is starting to look a lot like 2022 before both stocks and bonds crashed.

187

0

0

Friday, July 11, 2025

Strongly Worded Letters
Sunday strategy video
30 mins
Strongly Worded Letters

The first tariff letters go out on Monday. 'Sell the event' must mean go short. With small caps close to target, it is time to take profit to effect this.

Strongly Worded Letters
Strongly Worded Letters

The first tariff letters go out on Monday. 'Sell the event' must mean go short. With small caps close to target, it is time to take profit to effect this.

Strongly Worded Letters
Strongly Worded Letters

The first tariff letters go out on Monday. 'Sell the event' must mean go short. With small caps close to target, it is time to take profit to effect this.

317

0

1

Sunday, July 6, 2025

Leverage without leverage

Warren Buffett and Peter Lynch tell us that diversification is bad. We explain what really happens when you diversify, and how we use it.

0
3

Jan 15, 2024

685

MORE BUYERS OR SELLERS?
 Monday fast money

Chinese data suggests Covid testing is being reduced

Asymptomatic cases in China have begun to diverge from symptomatic cases.

206

0
4

Dec 6, 2022

ON THE RADAR
bottom of page