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Lagarde: positive China news = negative bond news


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Jesse
Jan 24, 2023

How do you see volatility trending this week after the uptick and regression of VIX last week?

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john
Jan 25, 2023
Replying to

Hi Jesse


In the short term I still prefer to wait to buy equity vol. I think the market is still a bit bearishly positioned. Next week I think people will be more reluctant to sell vol.

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Jeremy Martin
Jan 23, 2023

David, I get the impression the war is been managed for continuance. The balance achieved with equipment supplies. Attempting to maintain a level of oil and food supplies to control energy and food prices. Enough to prevent outright optimism and not enough to result in total destruction of hope. Otherwise the whole show defies logic.


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David
Jan 24, 2023
Replying to

Jeremy, I can see the logic behind tactics but I don't see any strategy or any logic in the big picture as far as the US is concerned

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Aly
Aly
Jan 22, 2023

David, do you think we will see oil prices spike back to their 2022 highs before the end of the year? If so, would it make sense to get long breakevens?

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David
Jan 23, 2023
Replying to

I think 1yr inflation swap at 2.2% (recently at 2%) is too low. This is why I like being long TIPS. But there are other ways trading the high oil and lower equity view.

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