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    • Jan 16, 2022

Money Game: Three themes, three numbers


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Matt Milsom
Matt Milsom
19 ene 2022


an idea on how to play putin/natgas etc..... EUR Vol - cheap as chips

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john
20 ene 2022
Contestando a

That seems fine to me since an increase in vol is likely in the event of an invasion. EUR/USD has a habit of ripping one way and then reversing quickly on risk events. I'm thinking of March 2020 and Dec 2008. With a shorter maturity you'll have more exposure to this.

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Justin Tan
19 ene 2022

I was curious to see what a "subdued" David Woo markets analysis would look like. I don't think we got that, full of passion as usual, especially on long end rates : ) Get well soon David !

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Miembro desconocido
19 ene 2022
Contestando a

Thanks Justin! I only wish my energy matches my passion :-)

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James Wang
18 ene 2022

Dear David, Good to hear you. One more question, from Jan BAML Global Fund Manager survey, long banks and short tech seem to be the most crowded trade. From the macro strategy we talk about. Do you see it is approaching the time that bank and tech price movement to be reversal?

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Miembro desconocido
19 ene 2022
Contestando a

Thanks James, In case people don't know, what James just shared is a highlight of the most followed positioning survey on Wall Street. Wise investors want to avoid crowded trades. There are other surveys that measure sentiment well, but this survey are good at identifying the most crowded trades... Why am I not surprised that the crowded remains tech even after the recent correction ....

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jerryandrewsml
18 ene 2022

David, Thanks for rising above your case of Omicron. I wish you a speedy recovery. Jerry Andrews

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jerryandrewsml
18 ene 2022
Contestando a

Hang in there, David

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Miembro desconocido
18 ene 2022

It is impossible to predict wars. I don’t want to come across across being more confident than I can ever be about the start of wars. What I tried to convey with my 30% is that the risk is no longer trivial, to the extent that the market will soon not be able to ignore it. The price action of the past 24 hours seems to support my view.

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