This week both bonds and equities traded sideways, as the market continued to adjust holdings in response to the sell-off in rates last week. The two notable outperformers on the week were Chinese equities, with FXI up 4%, and oil, with WTI futures up 6.5%.
The move in oil was to the benefit of our long XOM position.
Supply side oil dynamics as reflected in the price of oil now appear to have more influence on XOM than the demand side as reflected in SPY. For now this suggests that XOM will still rally on higher oil prices, regardless of how the broader market reacts.
Our exposure to Chinese markets through KWEB and CNYB both finished higher on the week, reflecting expectations of Chinese easing.
After failing to rally on the move in yields last week, the Dollar sold off slightly this week, breaking the tight range of the past couple of months.
The last significant move in our portfolios was in DIS, which sold off today in response to an analyst downgrade. By contrast, CCL rallied through the week, suggesting that the reopening theme remains intact.
David's trades:
In David's medium-term portfolio (The Money Game) we made no changes this week.
Portfolio | Ticker | Date entered | Entry | Last close | Size |
Medium term | KWEB | 36.54 | 37.13 | 10% | |
Medium term | CNYB | 5.60 | 5.63 | 100% | |
Medium term | DIS | 152 | 151.92 | 100% | |
Medium term | CCL | 20.25 | 22.94 | 50% | |
Medium term | TBF | 16 | 16.68 | 50% | |
Medium term | XOM | 64 | 71.85 | 50% | |
Medium term | Short EUR/USD | 1.16 | 1.1417 | 100% |
Closed trades year-to-date = 0
Closed trades that made money = 0
Closed trades that lost money = 0
Closed trades that broke even = 0
An archive of our closed trades is available here.
John's trades
In John's short term portfolio (More Buyers or Sellers) we made no changes this week.
Portfolio | Ticker | Date entered | Entry | Last close | Size | |
Short term | KWEB | 35.77 | 37.13 | 50% | | |
Short term | NNDM | 4.62 (avg) | 3.71 | 100% | |
Closed trades year-to-date = 4
Closed trades that made money = 1
Closed trades that lost money = 2
Closed trades that broke even = 1
An archive of our closed trades is available here.
S&P sector portfolio
Sector portfolio relative to SPY: -1bps
Cumulative year-to-date relative to SPY: -15bps
An archive of our closed trades is available here.
60/40 portfolio
60/40 portfolio relative to benchmark: -13bps
Cumulative year-to-date relative to benchmark: -13bps
An archive of our closed trades is available here.
could the honesty board be updated each time there is a change in positions - very active and volatile market - would be helpful to know if stopped out or changed a longterm position without waiting a week or longer to be informed thx bob billings