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Honest Board: Trade archive 2021-Sep 2023



Apparently this archive is getting too big so this is everything up to September 2023, and more recent stuff is in the active archive location.




The tables below contain only closed trades. For open trades please see our Honest Board weekly roundup, published on Fridays after the close.



Medium term portfolio (The Money Game)

Closed trades since inception: 16

Closed trades which made money: 6

Closed trades which lost money: 6

Closed trades which broke even: 4

Ticker

Date entered

Date exited

Entry

Exit

PFE

42

50

Short IWM

220

232

Short CFR.SW

99.4

105

VXX

21.25

24.50

10y real yields

-1.03

-1.03

XOM

64

75

Short EURUSD

1.16

1.1160

Long TBF

16

17.17

DIS

152

146.2

CCL

20.25

18.34

CNYB

5.60

5.62

KWEB

36.54

29.50

SPXU

15.85

16.81

IEF

105.14 (avg)

105.10

ERUS

-

33

0

BNTX

161.70

162



Short term portfolio (More Buyers or Sellers)

Closed trades since inception: 53

Closed trades which made money: 19

Closed trades which lost money: 27

Closed trades which broke even: 7

Ticker

Date entered

Date exited

Entry

Exit

GPS

3rd Nov 21

23.08

24.86

DKNG

9th Nov 21

44

42.84

MMP

11th Nov 21

47.92 (avg)

48.35

LVS

15th Nov 21

39.95

41.25

SE

15th Nov 21

340.02

339.5

UPS

26th Nov 21

208.75

206

ZNGA

8th Dec 21/7th Jan 22

6.015

6.665 / 6.01

VOD

3rd Jan 22

15.11

15.22

TLRY

3rd Jan 21

11.06

7.19

SNOW

4th Jan 22

321.75

309.96

KWEB

20th Jan 22

35.77

39.40

GPRO

19th Jan 22

10.42

9.88

SPOT

24th Jan 22

187.41

178.90

ASHR

36.40

35.55

GDXJ

43.44

45.6

CVNA

147.80

144.00

OPEN

10.11

8.29

BLNK

22.81

25.21

AAL

16.70

19.00

RBLX

41.20

44.50

GS/XLF

326.82/36.89

347.11/38.20

FUBO

6.65

5.40

GDX

34.03

34.47 (avg)

DWAC

43.90

37.70

JPM

17.57

26.10

DOW

66.95

64.20

AUY

4.96

4.60

CHPT

13.01

13.96

NCLH

11.59

13.60 / 13.75

TLRY

3.99

3.57

LAZR

9.09

9.17

AA

55.04

47.57

GOOGL

86.89

98.70

DIS

94.70

94.50

AMZN

93.88

88.90

LAZR

7.74

6.26

CVS

90.26 cum div

84.93 Ex Div

U

40.10

40.70

SE

57.80

73.30


EWZ

29.08

29.07

CNC

72.99

68.38

INDA

39.91

38.78

VOD

11.65

11.05

TWLO

61.47

61

PYPL

75

72.98

OXY

61.80

60.45

GE (s)

99.90

102.89

DASH (s)

65

71.42

BAC

28.40

27.70

CRM (s)

211.34

222.06

ETSY

84.32

100.00

DIS

87.89

86.66

U

36.20

35.88

UAL (s)

53.75

49.06

MA (s)

395.05

407.42





Equity portfolio

In our equity portfolio, we enter our active portfolio on the open on Monday, and exit on the Friday close (holidays permitting). The return in the table below is calculated from these values.


Some methodology is described here and here.


Cumulative performance relative to SPY since inception: 216bps


Week

Active portfolio

Return relative to SPY

Short 2.7% XLE, 2.1% XLU, long 3.7% XLI

-13.5bps

Short 13.6% XLF, long 11% XLK

19.1bps

Short 6% XLF

-6bps

Short 2.7% XLE, long 2.7% XLK

0bps

Short 8% XLP, long 3% SPY

-14bps

Short 10.8% XLV, long 5% SPY

-1bps

Short 12.6% XLY, long 12.6% XLP

77.5bps

Short 8.6% XLP, long 3% SPY

7bps

Short 2.5% XLB, long 2.5% XLK

1.5bps

Short 8.3% XLP, long 8.3% XLY

-10bps

Short 7% XLI, 7% XLF, long 14% XLU

16bps

Short 14.4% XLF, long 14.4% XLB

35bps

Short 8.7% XLP

46bps

Short 4% XLE

7bps

Short 12% XLY, long 12% XLK

22bps

Short 4% XLE

0bps

Short 4% XLE, short 6% XLP

-28bps

Short 4% XLE

-5bps

Short 2% XLU

5bps

Short 2% XLU, short 10% XLV, long 4% EFA

24bps

Short 9% XLP, short 2% XLV, long 6% XLU

22bps

Short 5% XLI, long 4% SPY

3bps

Short 4% XLE

-3bps

Short 2% XLE, Short 2% XLU, long 2% XLV

-17bps

Short 8% XLP, short 2% XLU, long 6% XLF

2bps

Short 8% XLP, long 5% XLF

-12bps

Short 2.6% XLU

21bps

Short 8.2% XLI, long 5% XLY

9bps

Short 10% XLK, long 5% XLY, long 5% XLF

12bps

Short 10% XLK, long 5% XLY, long 5% XLF

-16bps

Short 2.6% XLU, long 2.6% XLP

0bps

Short 7% XLY, long 7% EFA

-25bps


Short 12.2% XLV, long 7% SPY

6bps

Short 10% XLK, long 10% SPY

-18bps

Short 2.5% XLU

-6bps

Short 10% XLV, long 10% EFA

-18bps

Short 8% XLY, short 2.6% XLU, long 10.6% SPY

1bp

Short 8.3% XLI, long 8.3% XLB

-8bps

Short 8.3% XLI, long 8.3% EEM

-20bps

Short 8.9% XLP, long 5% XLF

11bps

Short 13.6% XLF, long 12% SPY

15bps

Short 7% XLF, long 5% XLK

-9bps

Short 5% XLY, long 3% XLP, 2% XLI

6bps

Short 5% XLV, long 5% XLU

-17bps

Short 5% XLK, long 5% SPY

-5bps

Short 5% XLK, long 5% SPY

-2bps

Short 5% XLY, long 5% XLU

22bps

Short 8% XLV, long 5% XLF

12bps

Short 2.4% XLU, long 2.4% XLY

-7bps

Short 7% XLF, long 7% XLV

-1bp

Short 3% XLE, long 3% XLB

3bps

Short 10% XLF, long 10% SPY

5bps

Short 6% XLK. long 6% IWM

4bps

Short 7% XLP, long 3% XLY

-6bps

Short 8% XLV, long 4% XLY

20bps

Short 2.5% XLU, long 2.5% XLP

0bps

Short 7% XLK, Long 7% IWM

-10bps

Short 8% XLK, Long 8% SPY

-20bps

Short 8.7% XLP, Long 5% XLF

5bps

Short 10% XLF, Long 10% XLI

10bps

Short 8.8% XLP, long 7% XLV

-5bps

Short 8% XLF, long 4% XLE

12bps

Short 6% XLP, long 3% XLY

-7bps

Short 3% XLI, 2.6% XLB, long 5.6% XLU

33bps

Short 8.6% XLI, long 8% SPY

8bps

Short 5% XLY, long 2% XLU, 3% XLF

-12bps

Short 8.8% XLP, long 5% XLU

11bps

Short 3% XLI, 2% XLE, long 5% XLF

4bps

Short 8.5% XLI, long 7% XLF

3bps

Short 5% XLI, long 3% XLU

1bp

Short 8% XLV, long 2.5% XLB, 2.5% SPY

-4bps

Short 9.1% XLP. long 4% XLY

-2bps

Short 5% XLY, long 5% XLB

-11bps

Short 8.8% XLP, long 6.5% XLV

7bps

Short 8.4% XLP, long 6.2% XLV

10bps

Short 2.3% XLB, long 2.3% XLF

2bps

Short 8% XLF, long 8% XLB

17bps

Short 5% XLP, long 3% IWM

-6bps

Short 5% XLK, long 5% XLB

4bps

Short 8.1% XLP, long 7% XLV

-11bps

Short 5% XLP, long 4% XLE

0bps

Short 8% XLP, long 6% XLV

5bps

Short 6% XLY, long 6% XLK

-4bps

Short 6% XLI, long 6% XLV

0bps

Short 8.1% XLP, long 6% XLV

13bps

Short 7% XLI, long 7% XLV

6bps

Short 8.5% XLI, long 7% EFA

0bps

Short 7% XLK, long 7% XLY

-7bps

Short 8% XLF, long 8% XLB

-11bps



Global Asset Allocation portfolio

Our Balanced portfolio is benchmarked to 60% MSCI ACWI and 40% Bloomberg Global Agg, rebalanced weekly. As of 10th July 23 we can take views in growth, value, and international allocations, as well as whether to hedge our currency exposure on the equity component.


Returns in the table below are calculated using the Monday open to Friday close on any weight adjustments.


Cumulative return relative to benchmark since inception: 2bps.


Week

Portfolio

Return to benchmark

45% ACWI, 25% Agg, 30% Cash

-13bps

45% ACWI, 30% Agg, 25% Cash

74bps

60% ACWI, 40% Agg, 0% Cash

24bps

60% ACWI, 40% Agg, 0% Cash

0bps

60% ACWI, 25% AGG, 15% Cash

6bps

60% ACWI, 25% AGG, 15% Cash

3bps

60% ACWI, 25% AGG, 15% Cash

4bps

60% ACWI, 40% Agg, 0% Cash

-6bps

60% ACWI, 40% Agg, 0% Cash

0bps

45% ACWI, 40% Agg, 15% Cash

-92bps

45% ACWI, 40% Agg, 15% Cash

-16bps

45% ACWI, 40% Agg, 15% Cash

-7bps

45% ACWI, 50% Agg, 5% Cash

3bps

45% ACWI, 50% Agg, 5% Cash

20bps

45% ACWI, 50% Agg, 5% Cash

32bps

45% ACWI, 50% Agg, 5% Cash

41bps

50% ACWI, 50% Agg