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Who Will Win Round 2?
Who Will Win Round 2?

US has the upper-hand in the trade war but China has time on its side. What are the two tail-risks in Round 2? I remain bearish RMB and like gold

368

6

4

Friday, April 11, 2025

Who Will Win Round 2?
Who Will Win Round 2?

US has the upper-hand in the trade war but China has time on its side. What are the two tail-risks in Round 2? I remain bearish RMB and like gold

368

6

4

Friday, April 11, 2025

Trade Update
Sunday strategy video
30 mins
Trade Update

Exiting ELV and upsizing DXJ.

Trade Update
Trade Update

Exiting ELV and upsizing DXJ.

Trade Update
Trade Update

Exiting ELV and upsizing DXJ.

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Thursday, April 17, 2025

Trade Update

Trade Update

Exiting ELV and upsizing DXJ.

54

0

0

Apr 17, 2025

Trade Update

Trade Update

Exiting ELV and upsizing DXJ.

54

0

0

Apr 17, 2025

Trade Update

Trade Update

Exiting ELV and upsizing DXJ.

54

0

0

Apr 17, 2025

Who Will Win Round 2?

Who Will Win Round 2?

US has the upper-hand in the trade war but China has time on its side. What are the two tail-risks in Round 2? I remain bearish RMB and like gold

368

6

4

Apr 11, 2025

Who Will Win Round 2?

Who Will Win Round 2?

US has the upper-hand in the trade war but China has time on its side. What are the two tail-risks in Round 2? I remain bearish RMB and like gold

368

6

4

Apr 11, 2025

Who Will Win Round 2?

Who Will Win Round 2?

US has the upper-hand in the trade war but China has time on its side. What are the two tail-risks in Round 2? I remain bearish RMB and like gold

368

6

4

Apr 11, 2025

Leverage without leverage

Warren Buffett and Peter Lynch tell us that diversification is bad. We explain what really happens when you diversify, and how we use it.

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3

Jan 15, 2024

680

MORE BUYERS OR SELLERS?
 Monday fast money

Chinese data suggests Covid testing is being reduced

Asymptomatic cases in China have begun to diverge from symptomatic cases.

206

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4

Dec 6, 2022

ON THE RADAR

INVESTMENT FORUM WITH A PROVEN TRACK RECORD

ECONOMICS/POLITICS/GEOPOLITICS  

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INVESTMENT FORUM

WITH A PROVEN TRACK RECORD

ECONOMICS/POLITICS/GEOPOLITICS  

Who Will Win Round 2?

Who Will Win Round 2?

US has the upper-hand in the trade war but China has time on its side. What are the two tail-risks in Round 2? I remain bearish RMB and like gold

368

6

4

Friday, April 11, 2025

Honest Board

Honest Board

Last updated 2024-01-19. Our portfolio was up 2% compared to just 0.2% for its benchmark.

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1

0

Jan 12, 2024

Who Will Win Round 2?

Who Will Win Round 2?

US has the upper-hand in the trade war but China has time on its side. What are the two tail-risks in Round 2? I remain bearish RMB and like gold

368

6

4

Friday, April 11, 2025

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METHODOLOGY:

1: Excess returns are calculated daily using US closing prices. 

2. Portfolios are rebalanced on Mondays at New York open, based on allocation strategies discussed in our Beat the Market video on Sunday.  

3: The calibration of our risk exposure is based on our target of annual excess return of 250 basis points and information ratio of 2. 

MACRO STOCK SCREEN

A tool to find stocks that should benefit from our macro views (or yours!). Includes a technical signal to screen for interesting trade candidates.

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OUR TRACK RECORD

We trade our macro views transparently and provide daily updates of how we are doing relative to our benchmark of SPY.

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